Bounce: Trump Takes the Lead in National Polling Average

PHILADELPHIA - As we anticipated, Donald Trump is enjoying a customary post-convention polling bounce. So far, the boost appears to be modest but clear. Despite a messy RNC in Cleveland, the GOP ticket has surged across multiple polls in advance of the DNC here in Philly. Democrats, meanwhile, will gavel in their quadrennial confab in a state of chaos and disunity. The soon-to-be-ex party chairwoman was booed off the stage by her own state delegation, and Bernie Sanders delegates are openly discussing mounting a floor challenge against Tim Kaine, Hillary Clinton's Vice Presidential pick. Will Trump's gains create a deeper schism within the Democratic ranks (see? we never should have nominated this flawed woman!), or will the prospect of a Trump presidency pull the center-Left together (differences aside, he must be stopped)?  We shall see.  Either way, memo to the party that rigged the system to coronate one of the least liked and least trusted politicians of our time -- Donald J. Trump has now seized a very slight national lead:

Morning Consult also has Trump +4.  It's worth noting that the USC tracking poll, like Rasmussen, has been uncommonly kind to Trump. On the other hand, Reuters' tracker has been especially unkind to him, and their latest (mid-RNC) numbers had him within low single digits -- a major shift away from her.  An additional data point to highlight is how in the CNN survey, Trump's margin of advantage grows when Libertarian Gary Johnson is included; in CBS News' findings, Johnson pulls equally from both major parties.  The notion that Johnson acts as a disproportionately anti-GOP spoiler has been undermined by the polling over several months:

The CBS battleground poll of 11 swing states was virtually unchanged from prior to Trump's nominating convention. Hillary Clinton's position remained exactly static, as the billionaire gained two points to take a razor-thin lead, well within the margin of error. It's now 42/41 for The Donald:

And here's elections guru Nate Silver announcing that his unweighted electoral model has shifted dramatically to give Trump the edge:

It's virtually inevitable that the Clinton/Kaine ticket will garner a convention bump of its own, reshuffling the numbers by next week. But as of July 25, 2016, literally the most disliked presidential nominee in the history of American political polling is beating Hillary Rodham Clinton. Over to you, Associated Press: 

Hillary Clinton has a problem. Too many voters say they're supporting her for a reason you'd never want printed on a campaign T-shirt: "I'm voting for the lesser of two evils." It's far from inspiring...Democrats and independent voters in the Philadelphia suburbs — a crucial area in a competitive state — expressed mixed feelings about Clinton in the days leading up to this week's Democratic National Convention in their hometown. Like Trump, Clinton has her faithful followers. And like Trump, negative views of Clinton run deep, even among some supporters. Half of Clinton's own backers say they consider her only slightly or not at all honest, and more than one-third say she's only slightly or not at all likable, according to an Associated Press-GfK poll conducted this month. "I'm not excited," said Matthew Mousley, 36, of Springfield, who nevertheless plans to support Clinton. "I guess, it's just, I feel like there should be better options." It's a worry for Clinton's top aides, who see maximizing Democratic turnout as a main campaign challenge.

Bravo, Democrats.

Clinton On Benghazi: Security Was ‘Not My Ball To Carry’

In their first joint appearance since the announcement of the full Democratic ticket, presumptive Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Sen. Tim Kaine were interviewed by CBS News’ Scott Pelley, where the issue of the Benghazi terror attacks were discussed.

“What’s your responsibility for Benghazi? Did you make any mistakes around that?” asked Pelley.

Clinton responded by saying that she did take responsibility, as she was secretary of state, and looked into what really happened–not what people have claimed in the media or on Capitol Hill. She said that she looked into what could be done to prevent another Benghazi at our various diplomatic missions around the world. Clinton cited precedent in Congress and the governing administration coming together to find such solutions, citing the 1983 Beirut bombings of the U.S. Marine Corps barracks by Hezbollah. Instead, she noted how the proceedings became overly politicized.

The former first lady mentioned that she set up an independent committee made up of distinguished Americans and civilian experts, who pointed out that the ball was dropped on security and that some decisions that were made should’ve been reconsidered.

“But wasn’t that your ball to carry?” asked Pelley.

“No, it wasn’t. It was not my ball to carry. It was—read the reports. Read all the reports, all many hundreds of pages of them, including this latest one which was a political exercise from the very beginning. Those never reached me. Those never came to my attention,” replied Clinton.

“The concerns about the security never came to you attention, they didn’t reach you,” said Pelley clarifying Clinton’s answer.

“Yeah,” said the former secretary of state.

Well, for starters, Clinton lied about her private email server, she lied about classified material being sent through that server, she lies about the reason the server was set up, and she lied about asking State Department officials about setting up said server. The State Department did note that if Clinton had actually requested such a system for her electronic communications, it would’ve been rejected. The explanations from the Clinton camp over the former first lady’s avoidable email fiasco have been nothing but a series of lies. Hence, why anything about Benghazi isn’t going to shift the needle. Republicans are still going to think she’s somehow involved in the disaster that left four Americans dead when the Libyan compound was attacks by Islamic terrorists.

As for Beirut, that bombing and the Benghazi attacks do share one thing in common: both were criticized for being lax in their security protocols. At the same time, security for the diplomatic mission wasn’t her ball to carry? Emails show that Clinton’s top aides told her about the deteriorating situation in the region (via WSJ):

Then-Secretary of State Hillary Clinton received emails from her top aides warning about dangerous security conditions in Benghazi, Libya, in the run-up to the terrorist attack that killed a U.S. ambassador and three other Americans there in 2012, documents disclosed on Friday show.

The messages were part of a batch of about 300 emails involving Benghazi that were made public by the State Department. State officials already gave the emails in February to a special House committee that is looking into the Benghazi attacks and is expected to take testimony from Mrs. Clinton.

The emails, in addition to what they reveal about the Benghazi attack, offer glimpses into Mrs. Clinton’s thinking and executive style. In an exchange with aides about to testify on Capitol Hill, she wrote: “Well, what doesn’t kill you makes you stronger (as I have rationalized for years), so just survive and you’ll have triumphed!”

[…]

One cautionary email sent to her long before the Sept. 11, 2012, terror attack came from longtime aide Huma Abedin. The April 24, 2011, note cited reports that hotels in Benghazi were being targeted for attack.

The note said U.S. diplomat Christopher Stevens—who would later become ambassador and die the following year in the Benghazi attack—would be meeting with Libya’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs to make “a written request for better security at the hotel and for better security-related coordination.”

About two months later, in a June 10, 2011, email from Mr. Sullivan [Clinton’s then-deputy chief of staff], Mrs. Clinton was told of a “credible threat…against the hotel that our team is using.” The note said security officials would be moving personnel out to alternative locations.

Clinton kept to her story that State had security experts that decide on these matters at the lower level. Still, this seems to be a strange parsing of responsibility. Clinton took responsibility for the attacks because she was our top diplomat. The late Ambassador Chris Stevens was killed in the attack, but not bolstering security was not her fault because that’s incumbent on the security staff at the lower level? Just like you can’t get a little bit pregnant, you can’t just say responsibility ends at a certain level at the State Department.

Uh Oh: In Two Weeks, Clinton's Chances Of Winning The Presidency Has Dropped Over 20 Points

Well, if the election were held today, Trump would have a 57.5 percent chance of winning to Hillary’s 42.5 percent, according to FiveThirtyEight. In this scenario, Trump and Clinton would tie in the popular vote, but Trump would win Florida, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania­, and New Hampshire, giving him a 285/252 landslide in the Electoral College.

Now, of course, if we keep to the polls for the November 8 projection, Clinton edges out Trump, 46/44 in the popular vote, with a slim 276/261 victory in the Electoral College. A rather squeaker win for a man Democrats think will bring about the next apocalypse. As for the chances of winning in this projection, it’s almost 50/50, with Clinton having a 53.7 percent chance of wining to Trump’s 46.2.

Yet, while Hillary fans might find some relief in that projection, and dismissing the “if the election were held today” scenario because Trump did receive a big bump post-RNC convention, they should go back to July 12, where FiveThirtyEight had her chances of winning at 77 percent. So, in the span of roughly two weeks, the chances of her winning the presidency have dropped by 20 points.

Finally, let’s go to the last projection, where FiveThirtyEight factors in economic and historical data, and the one that Clinton supporters will probably tout since Clinton is trouncing Trump. She wins 282/254 over him in the Electoral College and wins the popular vote (again…barely) 47/45. In this scenario, Clinton has a 58.2 percent chance of winning to Trump’s 41.7 percent. So a 60/40 split pretty much, which sounds a lot better on the airwaves. Yet, on July 12, Clinton had 73 percent chance of winning. She’s dropped 15 points since then.

For all of Trump’s faults, Clinton’s woes seem to be more serious and resonate more with American voters. Again, it’s early, but Trump didn’t mishandle classified information. He didn’t potentially leave America’s national security in a precarious state. He didn’t have a private email server, lie about why it was set up, or lie about what information was sent through it. He’s also not part of a party that’s also embroiled in an embarrassing email flap, where it shows the Democratic National Committee was tilting the scaled for Clinton over her challenger Bernie Sanders, even to go as far as suggesting someone ask about the latter’s religion so it could be used against him­–all of this on the eve of the Democratic National Convention.

At the same time, let’s not get too out of hand. Clinton might get just as big a bump in the polls after the Democratic Convention. Moreover, today’s projection shows Trump winning Pennsylvania. No Republican has won the Keystone State since 1988, so let’s temper the enthusiasm a tad. Nevertheless, it’s a good sign for Trump, whereas Clinton’s campaign should be worried that a candidate so weak, and Trump is weak, could reduce her chances of winning by double-digits in this short period of time. Additionally, they’re probably looking back and wondering whether they should’ve taken the email controversy more seriously. It wasn’t just a fly-by story. It stuck—and the deep dive she took came days after FBI Director James Comey nuked Clinton’s entire email narrative. While the FBI declined to file charges against Clinton, NBC’s Chuck Todd noted that it was an indictment on her judgment, therefore an indictment of her qualifications to be president. Team Trump didn’t push any ads showing clips of Comey’s press conference, which was a Republican attack ad that was ready to go. If Trump had done that, it would be interesting to see what the numbers would be right now if he had got his act together.

FBI Now Investigating DNC E-Mails: Instead of Blaming Republicans, Dems are Now Blaming the Russians

The Federal Bureau of Investigation is once again involved with Hillary Clinton and the Democratic Party.  On Monday, the agency confirmed that it is investigating the release of thousands of e-mails that explicitly show tactics used to prevent Bernie Sanders from winning the Democratic nomination.  

And once again, one of Clinton's counter-parts has suddenly resigned as a result of a tumultuous scandal.  

"The FBI is investigating a cyber intrusion involving the DNC and are working to determine the nature and scope of the matter," the agency said in a statement. "A compromise of this nature is something we take very seriously, and the FBI will continue to investigate and hold accountable those who pose a threat in cyberspace."

Usually, when Clinton is attacked on her record and mischievous, reckless, and outright criminal behavior, she blames Republican conspiracy theorists.  This time, with no one to blame but herself and the DNC for their constant security failures, she is blaming the Russians. 

WikiLeaks Promises More Email Dumps Featuring Hillary Clinton

We're just hours away from the gaveling in of the 2016 Democrat Convention in Philadelphia and the Democrat Party is in chaos after WikiLeaks exposed DNC Chairwoman Debbie Wasserman-Schultz for anti-Bernie Sanders bias during the primary. Wasserman-Schultz announced yesterday she will resign from her post as the head of the DNC when the convention ends Thursday and will promptly join the Clinton campaign. 

But the damage WikiLeaks has done to Democrats so far isn't over. According to WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange, the website will publish more hacked emails and this time, they'll be about Hillary Clinton and her ongoing private email server scandal. 

Julian Assange has made an incredible statement in an interview with ITV. Assange says that Wikileaks, the infamous whistle-blowing website, will soon be publishing documents that contain “enough evidence” for the Department of Justice to indict Hillary Clinton, the expected Democratic nominee.

Team Clinton and the DNC have been in damage control for more than 24 hours now and are blaming the WikiLeaks hack on the Russians, saying it was an attack from President Vladimer Putin on Hillary Clinton in an effort to sabotage her campaign.

I'll leave you with this: 

Debbie Wassermann Schultz Is Out, But Top Democrat Wants More Heads To Roll

Chairwoman of the Democratic National Committee Debbie Wasserman Schultz has resigned, but the Clinton campaign tossed her a life preserver. She’ll soon be the honorary chair of the campaign once Schultz leaves her DNC position in the wake of controversial emails that seem to prove Donald Trump’s point that the Democrats actively worked behind the scenes to tilt the scales in favor of Hillary Clinton over her more progressive challenger Sen. Bernie Sanders. Cortney touched upon some of these emails that were leaked by Wikileaks last week. Some are quite nasty. One email by DNC CFO Brad Marshall suggested that a Democratic staffer ask Sanders about his religion:

It might may no difference, but for KY and WVA can we get someone to ask his belief. Does he believe in a God. He had skated on saying he has a Jewish heritage. I think I read he is an atheist. This could make several points difference with my peeps. My Southern Baptist peeps would draw a big difference between a Jew and an atheist.

Another described increasing Hispanic voter outreach as “taco bowl engagement.” To make matters even more juicy, it confirms what many conservatives have know for quite a while—that there is a Democrat-media complex. The very thing the late Andrew Breitbart was seeking to destroy. 

Yet, back to the emails, The Huffington Post’s Howard Fineman noted that top Democrats noted earlier on Sunday that Wasserman Schultz’s time was numbered as DNC chair, though more heads may roll as a result of these correspondences that even Fineman admitted constituted grounds for dismissal. Marshall did offer an apology on Facebook, though Fineman said it doesn’t carry much weight So, will a purge happen at the DNC (via The Hill):

Former Minneapolis Mayor R.T. Rybak, a vice chairman at the DNC, told The Hill on Sunday that those involved in scheming to undermine Bernie Sanders’s presidential campaign should either resign immediately or be fired.

“The DNC needs to make a clear statement that this was wrong and that any member of the staff involved in criticizing another candidate, especially using DNC offices and equipment, should be fired,” Rybak said. “If any officer played a role in helping another candidate when we’re supposed to be neutral, they should resign. It’s that simple. Make a clear statement. Clean up this mess so we can move on and work together.”

A cache of emails released Friday by WikiLeaks revealed at least two instances of DNC officials openly discussing ways to undermine the Vermont senator's campaign.

The Hill did add that Rybak had been critical of Schultz’s leadership for quite a bit of time prior to her resignation that is to take effect immediately after the Democratic National Convention is over. At the same time, he’s right. There needs to be some house cleaning at the DNC. And while more heads should roll, they’re probably not going to, or like Schultz—there may be a slew of resignations only to end with these ex-DNC staffers being picked up by other campaigns, possibly Clinton’s. Hey, friends who have similar email problems stick together, huh?

Sanders people might seethe with rage over these emails. They should, as it shows the Democratic Party establishment was, for all intents and purposes, in the bag for Clinton. At the same time, it was totally unnecessary. Sanders had a stronger than expected showing in the primaries, but Clinton beat him decisively. Her lead expanded dramatically with the help of black Democrats south of the Mason-Dixon line. Sanders was able to recover a bit when the contests moved to the Great Plains and Pacific Northwest, but the I-95 Corridor primaries proved to be the highway of death for the Sanders camp. After those contests, it was mathematically impossible for Sanders to overtake Clinton. Moreover, her grip on the party’s superdelegates was ironclad. Clinton won, albeit a bit more bruised and bloodied than her supporters might have liked. A disheveled senior citizen, self-described Democratic socialist was able to put over $200 million into a war chest to take her on quite well—maybe the red flag was that someone like Sanders could do that well against a titan of American politics.

Hillary isn’t Bill; the 2008 and 2016 cycles have proved that point. She’s a horrible campaigner, though she has a good last name and the best political minds behind her. In that regard, Sanders jumping in did help navigate Clinton toward a more progressive stance on trade and health care. In fact, in some ways, Sanders did succeed in doing what many candidates who mount these types of campaigns aim to do when they run against someone they know they can’t beat—shift the narrative. The Democratic Party is running on the most left wing platform ever thanks to Sanders’ performance. So, in some ways, these emails about attacking Sanders’ religion weren’t just offensive—they were wholly unnecessary. At the same time, the DNC should worry that if they were fretting over how Sanders possibly beating Clinton, than how will she fare against Trump who, unlike Sanders, will attack, attack, and attack some more on her many weaknesses. Yet, before that can be answered, let’s see who’s next to resign over this internal email flap.

Feeling the Bern: Photos of 4-Mile Long Border Wall Around DNC Convention

There will be no bridges being built in Philadelphia during the Democratic National Convention this year.  Instead, a four-mile wide, eight foot tall border wall will surround the compound to prevent commoners from entering the premises.  

Surely this will keep out the thousands of angry Bernie Sanders supporters who feel as though the system was rigged against them since the beginning.

Here is The Full DNC Schedule

The following 2016 Democrat Convention speaker agenda has been provided by the Democratic National Committee and is subject to change. The convention, being held in Philadelphia, starts Monday and concludes Thursday.

Program Hours (all Eastern Time):
Monday, July 25th - 4:00 PM Start Time
Tuesday, July 26th - 4:30 PM Start Time
Wednesday, July 27th - 4:30 PM Start Time
Thursday, July 28th - 4:30 PM Start Time 

***

Monday, July 25th

Start: 4:00 PM ET

Pam Livengood

Pam and her family of Keene, NH have been personally affected by the growing substance abuse epidemic and are guardians for their grandson because of their daughter’s struggle with addiction. Pam raised the issue with Hillary while participating at a round-table during the first trip to New Hampshire.

Karla & Francisca Ortiz

Karla is an American citizen from Las Vegas, NV but her parents, including her mother, Francisca, are undocumented and live in fear of deportation. Karla met Hillary Clinton in Nevada and was featured in the campaign ad, Brave. 

Anastasia Somoza

Anastasia of New York, NY, along with her twin sister, was diagnosed with cerebral palsy and spastic quadriplegia when she was born and is an advocate for Americans with intellectual and developmental disabilities. Anastasia interned for Hillary Clinton in her U.S. Senate office and on the 2000 campaign for senate. Anastasia first met President Bill Clinton in 1993 at a town hall meeting for kids. 

DREAMer Astrid Silva

Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren 

Senator Bernie Sanders

First Lady Michelle Obama

***

Tuesday

Start time: 4:30 ET

Kate Burdick

Kate, originally from Philadelphia, PA,  is a staff attorney at the Juvenile Law Center in Philadelphia.

Anton Moore

Anton, from Philadelphia, PA, founded and runs a nonprofit community group that strives to bring awareness and educate youth on gun violence.

Dustin Parsons

Dustin, from Little Rock, Arkansas,  is currently a fifth grade teacher at an elementary school in his home state.

Students from Eagle Academy

As a senator, Hillary Clinton supported the creation of the Eagle Academy to educate at-risk youth in New York City. Eagle Academy was featured in the ad Came Through during the New York primary.

Joe Sweeney

Joe, of New York, NY,  was a detective with the NYPD on September 11, 2001. When the towers were hit, he rushed down to the World Trade Center and began digging through the rubble for survivors.

Lauren Manning

Lauren was a former executive and partner at Cantor Fitzgerald. She is one of the most catastrophically wounded survivors of 9/11. Lauren battled single digit odds of survival, spending more than six months in the hospital and fought recovering through the next decade from an 82.5% total body burn. Lauren asked then Senator Hillary Clinton to support the injured and she has remained unflagging in her commitment and dedication.

Ryan Moore

Ryan, originally from South Sioux City, NE, has spondyloepiphyseal Dysplasia dwarfism and has known Hillary Clinton since 1994 when his family came to Washington, DC for an event to advocate for health care reform. Brian Moore, Ryan’s father, lost his job when his employer was unwilling to cover treatment for Ryan’s health condition. Ryan has stayed in contact with Hillary ever since.

President Bill Clinton 

Mothers of the Movement

***

Wednesday

Start time: 4:30 PM ET

Erica Smegielski

Erica’s mother Dawn was the principal of Sandy Hook Elementary and was killed while trying to protect her students. Since then, Erica has become an outspoken advocate for commonsense gun violence prevention measures. Erica was featured in the ad, My Mom.

Felicia Sanders & Polly Sheppard

Felicia and Polly are two of the three survivors of the Mother Emanuel Church shooting in Charleston, SC.

Jamie Dorff

Jamie’s husband was Patrick Dorff, an Army helicopter pilot from Minnesota who died while on a search and rescue mission in northern Iraq. As a senator, Hillary worked with Republicans and Democrats to increase the gratuity paid to family members of fallen veterans from $12,000 to $100,000.

Vice President Joe Biden

President Barack Obama

***

Thursday

Start time: 4:30 PM ET

Beth Mathias

Beth works two jobs and her husband works the nightshift at a factory in Ohio. Hillary met Beth at a roundtable in Marion.


Jensen Walcott & Jake Reed

Jensen was fired from her job at a pizza restaurant in Bonner Springs, KS for asking her boss why she was paid 25 cents less than her male co-worker and friend, Jake. After Jensen and Jake’s story came to light, Hillary tweeted “Good for you, Jensen. Every woman deserves equal pay, no matter what her age. Keep up the hard work—and courage!”


Khizr Khan

Khizr Khan’s son, Humayun S. M. Khan was a University of Virginia graduate and enlisted in the U.S. Army. Khan was one of 14 American Muslims who died serving the United States in the ten years after the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks. Clinton spoke extensively about Kahn during a speech in Minneapolis.

Chelsea Clinton

Hillary Clinton

Big Time Cruz Donors Are Jumping Ship, "Profoundly Disappointed"

Ted Cruz's life-long career as a politician may be in jeopardy.  After his stunt at last week's Republican convention, a mutiny has erupted among key supporters and donors of the once famed Texas senator. 

According to a statement released by businessman and key Cruz donor Robert Mercer, Cruz's speech was profoundly disappointing.  He also ripped Cruz and called his speech "both regrettable and revealing."

Last summer and again this year, Sen. Ted Cruz pledged to support the candidacy of the nominee of the Republican Party, whomever that nominee might be. We are profoundly disappointed that on Wednesday night he chose to disregard this pledge.

Robert and his daughter Rebekah Mercer donated over $11 million to Cruz-affiliated super PACs supporting his presidential campaign.

Politifact Holds Hillary Accountable For Suggesting Pence 'Slashed' Education Budget in Indiana

When Hillary Clinton was introducing her running mate Sen. Tim Kaine in Miami on Saturday, she offered a condemnation of his Republican counterpart Gov. Mike Pence of Indiana. Among her litany of criticism, was the claim that Pence "slashed" education funding in his state.

"While Mike Pence slashed education funding in Indiana and gave more tax cuts to the wealthiest, Tim Kaine cut his own salary and invested in education from pre-K through college and beyond," she said.

Hold up, says Politifact.

Indiana has not "slashed" education funding under Pence’s leadership. In fact, it’s been on the rise every year since Pence took office in 2013 - and they offer a graph to prove it.

Not adjusting for inflation, Indiana state spending for K-12 and higher education combined hit record highs in 2014 through the current year, according to data compiled by Larry DeBoer, a professor of agricultural economics at Indiana’s Purdue University.

Pence did cut individual educational investments, but the state spending increased. Even more awkward, education spending under Kaine actually decreased.

Politifact was generous and only rated Clinton's claim False.

Here is the DNC Schedule For Monday

The following 2016 Democrat Convention speaker agenda has been provided by the Democratic National Committee and is subject to change. The convention, being held in Philadelphia, starts Monday and concludes Thursday. Below is the agenda for Monday, July 25, 2016.
***
Program hours: 4:00 PM Start Time

Location: Wells Fargo Arena


Pam Livengood

Pam and her family of Keene, NH have been personally affected by the growing substance abuse epidemic and are guardians for their grandson because of their daughter’s struggle with addiction. Pam raised the issue with Hillary while participating at a round-table during the first trip to New Hampshire.

Karla & Francisca Ortiz

Karla is an American citizen from Las Vegas, NV but her parents, including her mother, Francisca, are undocumented and live in fear of deportation. Karla met Hillary Clinton in Nevada and was featured in the campaign ad, Brave. 

Anastasia Somoza

Anastasia of New York, NY, along with her twin sister, was diagnosed with cerebral palsy and spastic quadriplegia when she was born and is an advocate for Americans with intellectual and developmental disabilities. Anastasia interned for Hillary Clinton in her U.S. Senate office and on the 2000 campaign for senate. Anastasia first met President Bill Clinton in 1993 at a town hall meeting for kids. 

DREAMer Astrid Silva

New Jersey Senator Cory Booker

Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren 

Senator Bernie Sanders

First Lady Michelle Obama

Watch: Young, Intellectual Republican Women Organize to Support Clinton

There is a group of young Republican women who have decided that Hillary Clinton would be a better choice for president than Donald Trump.  

"We are Republican women for Hillary," said Meghan Milloy, head financier of the American Action Forum.  "We really do support Hillary's experience, her leadership, and a lot of her principles that she has shown during her tim e in office and her time in the State Department."

She went on to say that Trump is too much of a protectionalist and isolationist.  

For those young, conservative millennial women who are on the fence, Republican Women for Hillary is a great alternative, Milloy says.  

Turmoil: DNC Kicks Off Amid Controversy and Division, Party Chairwoman Ousted

Much has been made of the lack of party cohesion on the Republican side of the aisle, a reality underscored by the events of last week: An acrimonious floor fight, a primetime speaker refusing to endorse the nominee and being booed off the stage, and the nominee dredging up insane conspiracies while vowing to exact retribution on several former primary competitors. And internal polling numbers like this must give RNC officials indigestion. Hillary Clinton's campaign is seeking to sow further discord, releasing this video highlighting clip after clip of GOP officials -- including several stalwart Trump allies -- disavowing and condemning various statements by the man who was crowned in Cleveland last Thursday:

Trump's campaign has sought to play up how unified the party is by noting how much applause the nominee received from delegates during his acceptance speech. This is...interesting:

But if the media had plenty of storylines about a fractured and infighting Republican Party to cover last week, similar material abounds among Democrats.  As Christine reported yesterday, party chairwoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz was ousted as the presiding officer of the convention; the DNC email hack scandal seems to have sped the arrival of her long-awaited and imminently-expected demise in her current role.  She is now out, effective after the convention.  I wonder if she regrets this trolling of RNC chairman Reince Priebus last week.  Oops:  

Heh.  Among other things, the leaked emails prove that Democratic officials were actively hostile to Bernie Sanders' campaign from the very beginning.  They provide smoking gun proof that the powers that be at least partially rigged the system, deliberately stacking the deck against him.  Many Sanders supporters have expressed outrage online, with Sanders' campaign manager pointing out that even if the Clinton camp is correct that the Russians are actively aiding Trump's campaign (which is not totally far-fetched, actually), that still doesn't change the substance of the newly-revealed messages.  The Vermont Socialist himself is once again declining to make hey of a damaging story, confirming that he was never really serious about beating Hillary:

I'll leave you with a new development from that other, more serious, email-related controversy:

The State Department says the email chains in question would cause "exceptionally grave damage to national security if publicly released." Meanwhile, Mrs. Clinton cannot stop lying about the scandal.  So, to recap:

Oof: Watch Debbie Wasserman Schultz Get Booed Off Stage

Yesterday was not a good day for former Democratic National Committee Chairwoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz, and it looks like things aren't going to get any better any time soon. At a breakfast for Florida delegates attending the Democratic National Convention, Wasserman Schultz was loudly booed off stage as she addressed the crowd.

Ouch.

...That's not exactly a home-state welcome.

Wasserman Schultz is up for reelection this year and faces a stiff primary challenge in Tim Canova. Florida's primary elections are held on August 30.

Donald Trump To Do A Reddit AMA On Wednesday

Republican nominee Donald Trump will host an "Ask Me Anything" (AMA) session on Reddit this Wednesday. The post will go live at 6:30 p.m. and Trump will begin answering questions at 7:00 p.m. The AMA will be hosted on the subreddit r/The_Donald, a pro-Trump forum which has done AMAs with other noteworthy Trump supporters.

In an AMA, Reddit users are permitted to ask the person leading the thread literally anything, and nothing is off limits. President Barack Obama did an AMA during the leadup to the 2012 election, and Sen. Rand Paul did one as well.

Reddit's userbase generally skews to the left, but there are a number of pro-Trump subreddits. It will be interesting to see if this AMA goes well or is "hijacked" by people who do not support Trump.

So, DNC's Interim Chair Was Also Implicated in WikiLeaks Emails

With Debbie Wasserman Schultz out as DNC chair effective after the convention because of leaked emails showing her bias against Bernie Sanders in the primary process, DNC Vice Chair Donna Brazile was named as her interim replacement. But there’s just one problem with that. Brazile was also implicated in the WikiLeaks emails as well. 

And another one: 

Rep. Marcia Fudge was named as the permanent chair of the Democratic National Convention in Philadelphia this week.

Brazile will serve as interim chair through the election. 

'Stronger Together': DNC Protests Already Surpass Those at the RNC

Remember how the Democrats couldn’t wait to point out the apparent division at last week’s Republican National Convention – reaching a boiling point after Sen. Ted Cruz failed to endorse GOP nominee Donald Trump during his speech? Well, the joke is on the DNC. The Democrats haven’t even officially begun their convention, and already thousands of protesters are lining the streets of Philadelphia to decry the Democratic National Committee’s “rigged” primary system that offered Bernie Sanders no shot at the nomination.

A new WikiLeaks dump on Friday proved that the DNC was out to get Sanders' campaign. The whistleblower group released 20,000 emails from the DNC that shows hostility between DNC leadership and Sanders' staff. Chairwoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz even called one Sanders aide “scummy” in one of the hacked emails. As a result, Schultz is resigning her post at the end of the week.

With this disunity in context, Sanders supporters are bringing their message to the convention’s front door. On Sunday, thousands of people, presumably angry progressives, marched through Philadelphia chanting, "Hell No, DNC, we won't vote for Hillary." 

The RNC finished with only a couple dozen arrests. I have a feeling the tally won’t be so conservative this week.

Trump Takes National Lead After Convention

After the Republican National Convention, GOP nominee Donald Trump has taken the lead over rival Hillary Clinton in a national poll released Monday morning.

Trump is now ahead of Clinton in both a two-way matchup and a four-way matchup.

Donald Trump comes out of his convention ahead of Hillary Clinton in the race for the White House, topping her 44% to 39% in a four-way matchup including Gary Johnson (9%) and Jill Stein (3%) and by three points in a two-way head-to-head, 48% to 45%. That latter finding represents a 6-point convention bounce for Trump, which are traditionally measured in two-way matchups.

This is the best Trump has polled against the former secretary of state in a CNN/ORC survey since September 2015, and this has much to do with the increase in support he received among independents, 43 percent of whom said that after the convention they’d be more willing to back him.

But he also fared better in terms of favorability, personal image, and his ability to manage important issues.  

Beyond boosting his overall support, Trump's favorability rating is also on the rise (46% of registered voters say they have a positive view, up from 39% pre-convention), while his advantage over Clinton on handling top issues climbs. He now holds double-digit margins over Clinton as more trusted on the economy and terrorism. Trump also cut into Clinton's edge on managing foreign policy (50% said they trusted her more, down from 57% pre-convention).

The convention also helped Trump make strides in his personal image. A majority (52%) now say Trump is running for president for the good of the country rather than personal gain, just 44% say the same about Clinton. He's increased the share who call him honest and trustworthy (from 38% to 43%), and who would be proud to have him as president (from 32% to 39%). And nearly half now say he's in touch with the problems ordinary Americans face in their daily lives (46% say so, 37% did before the convention).

Despite Democratic criticism of the Republican convention's message as divisive, the percentage who say Trump will unite the country rather than divide it has increased to 42%, compared with 34% pre-convention.

The survey of 1,001 adults was conducted between July 22-July 24.

Suicide Bomber in Germany Was 27-Year-Old Syrian Migrant

UPDATE: ISIS has claimed responsibility.

---Original Post---

The suicide bomber who blew himself up at a music festival in Ansbach, Germany on Sunday was a 27-year-old Syrian who had been denied asylum in Germany back in 2015, yet was permitted to stay in the country and was provided an apartment to live in due to the current situation in Syria.

Twelve people were injured in the attack, which occurred late Sunday evening. The bomber was the only fatality, although officials say the backpack bomb he carried had the potential to kill many people. The bomber ignited the bomb when he was not allowed in to the music festival when he did not have a ticket.

A failed asylum seeker from Syria killed himself and injured 12 other people after setting off a bomb near an open-air music festival in the German city of Ansbach, officials say.

Bavaria's interior minister said the 27-year-old man detonated a backpack device after being refused entry to the festival in the southern city.

About 2,500 people were evacuated from the venue after the explosion.

It is the third attack in the state of Bavaria in a week.

Three of the 12 people injured are in serious condition.

Two Dead, 17 Injured After Shooting at Florida Nightclub

At least two people were killed and as many as 17 others have been injured at a shooting that took place early Monday morning at a nightclub in Fort Myers, Florida.

The attack was at Club Blu during a “swimsuit glow party” that was for teenagers. One of the reported victims was 12-year-old Cherly Garn, according to Lee Memorial Health System, WINK reports.

Police have detained three people, but they are “actively canvassing the area looking for other persons who may be involved in this incident," a statement reads.

This post will be updated as more information becomes available.

 

Obama’s Half-Brother Is Ready To Make America Great Again

Well, if you want something to chuckle at for a bit, there’s this story from The New York Post that wrote about President Obama’s half-brother who is ready to Make America Great Again. That’s right–Malik Obama plans to vote for Donald Trump in November, citing his brother’s disappointing leadership, his support for traditional marriage, and the FBI’s refusal to file criminal charges against presumptive Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton over her private email system, where she and her staff were noted to be “extremely careless” in the safeguarding of classified material. He claims to be registered in Maryland (via NY Post):

“I like Donald Trump because he speaks from the heart,” Malik Obama told The Post from his home in the rural village of Kogelo [in Kenya]. “Make America Great Again is a great slogan. I would like to meet him.”

Obama, 58, a longtime Democrat, said his “deep disappointment” in his brother Barack’s administration has led him to recently switch allegiance to “the party of Lincoln.”

The last straw, he said, came earlier this month when FBI Director James Comey recommended not prosecuting Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton over her use of a private e-mail servers while secretary of state.

“She should have known better as the custodian of classified information,” said Obama.

He’s also annoyed that Clinton and President Obama killed Libyan leader Moammar Khadafy, whom he called one of his best friends.

[…]

“I feel like a Republican now because they don’t stand for same-sex marriage, and that appeals to me,” he said.

Obama believes strongly in the institution of marriage — so strongly that he has at least three current wives, although press reports have put the number as high as 12.

[…]

Obama plans to trek back to the US to vote for Trump in November. Obama used to live in Maryland, where he worked for many years as an accountant and is registered to vote there, public records show.

The NY Post reported that Malik even has a “Make America Great Again” hat. So, a man who has A LOT of wives (but supports the institution marriage), and called a dictator his friend, is backing Trump. I tell you, some of the endorsement the billionaire picks up are noting sort of astonishing, if not downright colorful. Regardless, whether it’s beneficial or detrimental, Trump decided to weigh in on the matter on Twitter, suggesting family strife was also at the heart of Malik’s decision.

Hillary Clinton Hires Debbie Wasserman Schultz

Hillary Clinton has hired soon-to-be-former DNC Chairwoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz. DWS will resign from her position effective at the conclusion of the Democratic National Convention. It was revealed that the DNC was effectively working to sabotage Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) during the Democratic primary, prompting calls for her to resign.

Clinton emailed supporters and said that Schultz would join the campaign as "honorary chair" of the 50-state program to ensure Democrats win elections nationwide. Wasserman Schultz will continue to serve as a Clinton surrogate.

Shameless.

Vermont's Democratic Delegation Replaced Two Members Because There Were Too Many Dudes

Damn due process and the votes of the people if gender balance is needed. That’s apparently the ethos behind why two male delegates from the Vermont’s Democratic delegation were axed to balance out those who will be descending into Philadelphia to formally nominate Hillary Clinton next week (via Associated Press):

complaint to the Democratic National Convention says two male Vermont delegates were replaced by women in the name of "gender balance" and without adequate due process.

The complaint, filed by 21 Vermont Democrats including 16 women, says the national party this month strong armed the state party to replace Vermont Sen. Tim Ashe and party stalwart Ken Dean, although Dean and Ashe were elected June 11. Dean is among the 21 complainants; Ashe is not.

The state delegation to the four-day convention that begins Monday in Philadelphia overwhelmingly supports Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders for president over presumptive nominee Hillary Clinton.

"The DNC's tactics were designed to strong-arm the Vermont Democratic Party: the party was ordered to act within 24 hours, the party was threatened with the loss of 5 delegate seats, the loss of hotel rooms and the password necessary for convention logistics," the complaint says. "The Vermont delegation was given no time to work together to explore other ways, other solutions, to abate the gender imbalance."

The credentials committee for the Democratic National Convention is expected to review the complaint Sunday. Gutting two male members in an affirmative action move on steroids so that the delegation could be more…gender balanced? Oh, this is definitely a Democratic Party convention.

Excuse Me, Congressman–George Wallace Was A Member Of The Democratic Party

On the eve of the Democratic National Convention, Rep. Keith Ellison (D-MN) was discussing on ABC’s This Week how Donald Trump is dangerous to the country. He noted that not only are his positions worrisome, but his attacks on the press is another reason to be fearful.

“We do have the worst Republican nominee since George Wallace,” he declared. Ellison prefaced these remarks by saying he’s with Sen. Bernie Sanders concerning doing everything he can t defeat Trump come November.

Rep. Tom Cole (R-OK) was also on the panel and fact checked his colleague on Wallace’s party affiliation.

“Well, first I want to correct my friend. George Wallace was a proud Democrat and ran for the Democratic nomination. It was on that stage down there,” Cole said.

“Thank God he got rejected and lost,” replied Ellison.

Well, the fact of the matter is that this isn’t the first time Democrats have botched their won party history from Wallace to the roots of the Ku Klux Klan. Wallace was an avowed segregationist, though he later recanted and rejected his racist views later in life. The point is that when we have folks saying how Trump is going to bring about the End of Days—you need to step away from the table for a second. It won’t be the end of the world. It won’t be the death of the country. Even actor Tom Hanks knows that this narrative about Trump being inherently dangerous is ridiculous—and that’s a member of the Hollywood Left.

Moreover, it was a failed attempt to slide in a thinly veiled accusation that the Republican nominee is a racist. Now, one can certainly make that argument that he might be a racist; given his unnecessary week he wasted attacking Judge Gonzalo Curiel, who is involved in the lawsuit over Trump University. The billionaire called for Curiel’s recusal since he’s of Mexican descent, though he was born in Indiana, which the Trump camp thought constituted a conflict of interest.

At the same time, the media was laser focused on those remarks, and therefore kept the spotlight on Trump. And that’s the thing that many Republicans, especially the Never Trump camp found so troubling about his candidacy. Trump’s not a Republican. He’s a loose cannon. And he’s simply not principled in his positions, whereas there were other candidates in the 2016 field that were who could easily defeat Clinton. Trump knows how the media works, he’s manipulated them throughout the primaries, and it could be that he made those remarks to keep the spotlight on him, no matter how odious the means were to accomplish that goal. There’s always something else with Trump. Case in point, look at what he did to Ted Cruz at the Republican National Convention. He knew Cruz wasn’t going to endorse. The Trump camp reportedly saw a copy of Ted’s remarks beforehand. Yet, he was allowed to speak because I think Trump suspected that Ted just couldn’t let things go. He knew he would implode. In many ways, the Texas senator and conservative firebrand is too smart for his own good—which is why some could speculate this was a perfect trap.

The Trump camp said that they wanted to be the bigger people in allowing Cruz to speak at the Convention. And when he refused to endorse, along with making some digs at the New York delegation, he totally destroyed himself. He was booed off the stage by some of the very people who were die-hard supporters, with many writing the epitaph for his political career.

So, yes, Trump may not be the best candidate—but he’s not George Wallace, and he’s always thinking ahead of the media curve (so far). So, let’s cut it with the misappropriating of party labels and the threats of doomsday with a Trump administration. Life will go on.

Oh, and as for Judge Curiel—he denied a motion to dismiss the lawsuit. So, expect Trump to say something about this soon.

Russian Athletes Will Be Allowed To Compete in Rio

On Sunday, the IOC decided against a blanket ban of all athletes representing Russia in the upcoming Summer Olympics in Rio. Instead, each sport's federation will decide whether or not Russian athletes will be permitted to compete in that discipline at the games.

Anti-doping officials requested the full ban of Russian athletes after a massive, state-run doping ring was uncovered.

The track and field teams, which were banned

from the Olympics last month, still remain banned.

The Rio games begin on August 5 and will continue through August 21.